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Real Estate Housing Crash Q4 2021

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Real Estate Housing Crash Q4 2021 – Latest News Today

Move over, Graham Stephan and MeetKevin – this is Ken’s take on the 2021 housing crash. Learn how to prepare for a crash in housing prices as inventory increases, what factors will reduce prices, and bring home prices down. DOWNLOAD NOTES: https://www.kenmcelroy.com/real-estate-crash-q4

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⏰ Timestamps ⏰:

0:00 Introduction
1:13 Market discussion from Fed Data
2:35 What is a balanced market?
6:24 What is the right level of listings for a balance market…
9:22 Estimated fall out from foreclosures
11:53 Other factors and their impact
16:19 Overall summary

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#kenmcelroy #realestate #housingcrash2021

To learn more about this topic, check these links below:
Housing Market Predictions 2021: Is It Going To Crash or Boom?www.noradarealestate.com › blog › housing-market-pr…
The pandemic has certainly affected every sector but residential real estate has been very resilient. The real estate sector has also been highly supportive of the …

The last stand for forbearance housing market crash bros …www.housingwire.com › articles › is-this-the-last-stand-…
Feb 8, 2021 — Housing market bubble boys turned forbearance crash bros have a big … In 2021, a lingering symptom of the economic sickness we suffered in 2020 is … it’s crucial for real estate agents and brokers to be proactive in order to grow their business. … Americans’ mortgage debt increased to $10T in Q4.
Three reasons there won’t be a 2021 housing market crash …www.housingwire.com › articles › three-reasons-there-…
Jan 18, 2021 — Three reasons there won’t be a 2021 housing market crash. Housing …

Why Are So Many Americans Predicting A Housing Market
The residential brokerage Compass, the residential mortgage lender and … predicting the housing market bubble will deflate during 2021 Q4 2021.

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38 Comments
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Robert Dunfee

38 Comments

  1. ohwhatelse
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    great book called Manias , Panics and Crashes and you will see this is all by design.

  2. The Business Guy
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Good video Ken

  3. Akshay Shende
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    What does a potential slowdown/crash indicate to a current homeowner in the long term (10-20 years). Where will Austin/RR be in 2040 (adjusted for inflation)? Trying to figure out if I should sell at the short-term peak, or hold it for the long-run.

  4. michaelcorbin2540t
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Get out sell off

  5. GrindHardPeezy
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    This was a gem.

  6. M Z
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    I just don't know what to do. I don't want to buy now, but my landlord is selling, and rentals are in short supply, very competitive, with huge fees and crazy policies, lots of property managers owning them that have horrid reviews online

  7. Patrick Precourt
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    This was certainly not worth the time I spent listening to it. Such a convoluted way to try to interpret data Points and at the exact same time leaving out such critical data such as overall demand. We have underbuilt for over a decade now and we need more homes. Listening to this in the month of July proves that even a few months later from when he publishes video he's dead wrong.

  8. James L
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    This is true for the personal consumer. But large hedge funds are buying out foreclosed properties 20% above retail so good news is the market will crash but everyone who doesn’t own property now will be renters forever

  9. Valentina C
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    it would be really easy for the banks to just move the payments to the end of the loans, but NO. They will kick people out and the vultures will buy in bulk. Like always.

  10. Russel Austin
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Charts at 6:20 math does not make sense. If you divide Dec 2019 houses available (top chart) by month's supply (bottom chart), you get two very different answers for "how many houses determine one months supply" between Dec 2019 (463,333) and Dec 2020 (563,157). Approx 20% difference. Why is this?

  11. D Crea
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    The guys at the top will just manipulate the market like they always do.

  12. Sara K
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Fyi, if you can't afford your property taxes and don't pay up the city can foreclose or out lright confiscate your house and auction it regardless of your forbearance/regardless of paying your mtg on time. HOAs cam do this as well. So there. It is coming it is a guarantee. We are beyond rates needing to be raiaed for a crash. Rates don't even need to be raised for a volcanic collapse.

  13. mahrard
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Abysmal.
    First: clean up the math. Approximating is one thing, not being able to cross multiply is another.
    Second: support your claim with data. What was the supply last year and what were the forebearances? How many usually default (I.e. is 50% optimistic or pessimistic?) etc….

  14. George Sitgraves
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Well, we are half way thru 2021 and this expert is as right as the experts we quoted when I was a stockbroker. Happy Independence day.

  15. Von Trap
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    It is the same with the used card market. When the 3 year hiked up price bubble bursts – no it's not just because of Covid the used car prices went up 25% 3 years ago, then those who bought a used car in the last 12-18 months is going to be at a massive loss. Buy a car for 40k, one year later it could be worth 25k. It is all about making everything cost more to keep the CEO's in the money and make the working class pay for it as their quality of life gets pushed lower and lower into the depths.

  16. Satish Soni
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Still waiting for crash to buy second house while my house went up 200k😜

  17. Wild West Adventures
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Ken do you expect home rental prices to go down when this crash happens? I read that they generally don't go down though home prices dropped significantly after the 2008 crash.

  18. Apul Silaen
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Your prediction never work, don’t waste your time, your experience doesn’t work.

  19. Mike Barber
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    How ya lookin' now?

  20. Abel Jones
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    So… do ya still agree with all of these predictions?

  21. Jim Bob
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    He has no idea.

  22. FTW Coatings
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Its going to be tough for the builders to supplement the new housing market demand with $11 2x4s.

  23. ohnotagain57
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    He doesn't take into account the Robber Barons buying up loads of houses

  24. Brad B
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    If he keeps saying it eventually he will be right 🤣

  25. outbackfrank
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Sounds good for someone planning to enter the housing market in Q2 2022?

  26. Elta Rahim
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Fantistic…thank you…

  27. Nathan Lambert
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    your math sucks i gave up

  28. Steve P
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    My thoughts on the free money to buy a house in the UK – it is one of the biggest travesties of our time. Giving a free £15,000 to a person whose asset could have gone up by £100,000 (buy a 1 million pound house, get £15,000 and make £100,00) is a disgusting poop on the head to the poor. Personally, I want who ever did that to be investigated as it is morally abhorrent Making the rich richer and the poor poorer is something that everyone involved should hold their head in shame and not brag about. A big reset is required.

  29. J. Mc
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Just wait for the new constructions that builders will throw up in a matter of weeks instead of months. With the shortages and prices of lumber and materials I can only imagine the lack of quality in these pretty "shotgun shacks". Builders where already skimming on quality wherever they could. It'll be far worse now…Don't sneeze too hard or your house will come crashing down on you.

  30. J H
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Wrong. But keep on scaring the crap out of people.

  31. Chase Williams
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    You kinda lost me when you said 1 month supply was 300,000 when 2 month supply was 1,000,000… Pretty sure when I do the math, 300,000 + 300,000 is 600,000.. Something doesn't seem right here.

  32. Carlos Nixon Rodriguez
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Finally someone who talks about everything that's going on.

  33. 15krpm600
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    funny how he just released a video talking about how housing prices are going to PEAK in 2022

  34. Wild West Adventures
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    @Ken McElroy so do you think the home prices as well as rental prices will drop when all this defaulting happens?

  35. GeneralPublic0000
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    There will be no housing crash anytime soon. It is not possible to simultaneously have a housing crash and a housing shortage.

  36. v art
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    why can't these guy just say what they mean

  37. nc_medina
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Would it be wise to purchase multi-families over individual home or just wait overall?

  38. Thomas Harrell
    July 16, 2021 at 1:00 am

    Ken, Good stuff here. Your 50% estimate probably conservatively covers this, but is there a more precise way to tell how much of the existing inventory overlaps with the forbearance and serious delinquent category.