Investing

The Stock Market Is About To Drop – Again

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Lets discuss the biggest mistakes investors are making right now in the stock market, whether or not this is similar to 1929, and then what you can do about it to come out ahead – Enjoy! Add me on Instagram: GPStephan

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First: The stock market is poised for a 40% drop, warns economist who says the current climate feels a lot like 1929.”
Even though we can line up charts from 1929 to today and say “Look how similar they are” – the reality is that past performance doesn’t indicate future results, we have a Federal Reserve stepping in, in ways that we didn’t have in 1929 – and we have a much more robust safety net in the event of such massive failures. Sure, we’re printing more money than we know what to do with – but, that should hopefully keep prices high, all things considered.

For ANYONE who wants to be a successful investor LONG TERM, it’s important to understand JUST how BAD market timing is, and how much this would cost you if you were WRONG IN 2020:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-07-03/the-cost-of-bad-market-timing-decisions-in-2020-was-annihilation?srnd=markets-vp

Despite the markets OVERALL being flat for this year…if you missed out on just the TOP 5 trading days throughout the entire year…you would be DOWN 30 PERCENT.

Evidently, this is SO COMMON that Citiground found that more than 2/3rds of investors were MORE LIKELY to see a 20% LOSS from their investment than a 20% GAIN…that’s because, typically the mentality of most investors is: Prices are down, I better sell – and then when they drop EVEN FURTHER, I’ll buy back in.

But, this type of game is more like a casino than an investment strategy…because typically, some of the BEST days in the stock market happen after the WORST Days…and if you aren’t in the markets during the worst of times, you won’t be in it for the best.

According to JP Morgan, over the last 20 years – if you just kept your money invested, you would average a 5.62% return. If you miss JUST the best 10 trading days…over 20 years…your return drops to 2.01%. If you miss the top 20 best days…now you’ve LOST money from a 20 year investment…so, literally over 20 years, just missing the best 20 days mean you LOSE MONEY. And from there, it gets even worse.
https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/04/11/what-happens-when-you-miss-the-best-days-in-the-st.aspx

The moral of the story is just this: when you invest, as long as you’re diversified and holding within a good company – the best thing you could do is just DO NOTHING. Keep holding. Stay invested. If the market drops, there’s your chance to buy more – but don’t change your investing strategy around someone who says the market is going to drop 40% like 1929, and keeps repeating that every year until maybe one day he’s right.

In addition to that, though…we also have another topic that everyone wants me to talk about, and I haven’t really addressed it until now…and that would be GOLD. What brings this to our attention is that Gold is now trading above $1800 an ounce, which is the highest level it’s been since 2011…
https://www.macrotrends.net/2608/gold-price-vs-stock-market-100-year-chart

Personally, I’m just not a huge fan of investing in gold. I think it definitely CAN have a place in your portfolio, but it’s certainly not an investment – just like I wouldn’t call a savings account “an investment.” I think it can work, in certain situations, but buying gold isn’t the “end goal” – it doesn’t produce anything, it doesn’t provide a dividend, and transaction costs are so high…I just don’t recommend keeping much money in Gold, and I keep pretty much nothing in precious metals besides some old coins and a watch.

For business or one-on-one real estate investing/real estate agent consulting inquiries, you can reach me at GrahamStephanBusiness@gmail.com

*Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available.

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27 Comments
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Robert Dunfee

27 Comments

  1. James Wise Magic
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    "Whats up Graham its guys here" hahahahaha dead

  2. Jacob Mastrogiovanni
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    You may have heard of covid 2020… but have you heard of SEPTEMBER 2020?????!??!!?!!

  3. Michael leigh
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    You earned your like on this one

  4. ConservativeNRA
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    Hi Jim it's Graham here.. Dohh

  5. Dekyor
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    finally it happened

  6. proctor james
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    Very nice video but I trade with Mr Andrew Feldstein and I always win. He is one of the greatest I've come across

  7. Rodolfo Currin
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    Good

  8. Joel Spring
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    This video hasn't aged well in it's prediction. That could very well change, but as of right now the opposite of what this video has predicted is taking place. The SP 500 has reached all time highs. The Dow Jones industrial has regained most of its pre Coronavirus pandemic losses. The economy has regained a couple million jobs and surpassed the so called economic expert's expectations. I'm not an economist, but so far this video appears to be far out of touch with reality.

  9. Alvin Fuller
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    The S&P just hit record high, please, will you admit you were wrong?

  10. Neal the Great
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    Cash is king. I don't want anyone to know where I spend my money. Anything under $200 or so and I'm paying cash. I don't want to have to go back and check 25 purchases at the end of the month and make sure they are correct. There is too much credit card/bank card fraud out there.

  11. Scott
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    The the last 3 minutes is some of the worst investing advice I've ever heard. How does this guy have 2.3 million subscribers?

  12. Scott
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    You really want digital cash? Sorry man but that is a TERRIBLE idea. Do you realize how much power that gives the government? Do you realize how easy it would be to shut off your money supply? Do you realize that every single item you buy would be trackable? Rethink that man because I think you are probably a nice guy but you haven't thought that one through.

  13. Anthony Sciabarrasi
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    wonder where the stock market would be if the world wars didn’t basically restart it

  14. michelleeditor
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    You didn't even talk about 2008, why?

  15. Roberto Montero
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    If cash is seriously phased out, I believe cryptocurrency will skyrocket and be used to buy things anonymously

  16. jekub loogwet
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    everyone who invested in march.. of course we are up right now. the market dropped 40%, as the video states.. its easy when everyone panics to make a quick buck.. this sets a lot of investors up with false hopes for what is going to happen in the future.. a 10,12,15, or even 17 percent return within 6 months is not typical and teaches the wrong lesson with investing.. remember, we live in unprecedented times..

  17. Robert Whitehurst
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    Hey Guys! Graham is such an inspiration to me so I have started my own youtube channel with financial content in Australia!
    Show some support to the avocado toast society and Subscribe!

  18. Anna V. Shap
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    Did he… say “what’s up Graham, it’s guys here??”

  19. perF3ct
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    just buy real estate, mah boi the stock market issa scam

  20. God Kevin
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    But…. I love my big green stack of 100 euro bills. They feel so good .

  21. Stephen Schultz
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    Would investing in Apple be a smart short term investment due to inflation or is it just better to buy and hold out for the possibility of an initial market crash and recovery?

  22. Jared Nass
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    The like button jokes make it very hard to resist

  23. Master Stacker
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    You mean the market will continue to fluctuate? I'm shocked, SHOCKED!

  24. Bradley Oneil
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    Your wrong

  25. Samuel Obodoekwe
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    The starting point of any turnover is realizing you don’t know it all and would always need guide. I’m a new even during the pandemic I was still making money from the market. Be wise not fast.

  26. RL Days
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    That single investment in 29 sounds a lot like most people who invested in bitcoin and altcoins in December 2017. Hodl,.. HODL!!!!

  27. Jimmy H
    July 19, 2021 at 8:09 pm

    oh my god there’s so many bots don’t listen to them they’re all scams